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This “China-first-and-last” school of thought revolves around three core assumptions. First, while Russia may be a nuisance, China is the only power that has both the military and the economic might capable of challenging the United States-led international order. Second, the U.S. does not have the military capacity to deal with both China and Russia simultaneously. And so, third, the U.S. should focus on China and leave its European allies to deal with Russia. Carlson even went a step farther, wondering whether the United States should back Russia in the conflict and musing aloud “Who’s the potential counterbalance against China, which is the actual threat?”