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In a 2022 poll, 73% of Ukrainians wanted to fight the war to its end
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The 2026 poll shows 66% of Ukrainians would rather negotiate an ending to the war and 24% wanted to fight until Ukraine wins
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The majority of Russians (59%) support peace negotiations. This is a massive change from 2022 when the overwhelming majority wanted to fight it to the end
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I can see a ceasefire happening in 2027. 2028-2029 is where I think it ends, but it could go beyond 2030.
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I will vote 3 years, with a ceasefire covering much of these 3 years